Football · Austria Landesliga · 15/09, 19:00

Prediction: SC Fürstenfeld vs SV Lebring

Team pages: SC Fürstenfeld · SV Lebring

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

SC Fürstenfeld1.93

SV Lebring2.03

1X2

36% 23% 40%

SC Fürstenfeld Draw SV Lebring

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Fürstenfeld 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDDWLL

SV Lebring 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

SC Fürstenfeld 2–1–3 SV Lebring (6 last)

SC Fürstenfeld3-3SV Lebring
SV Lebring1-0SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld2-1SV Lebring
SC Fürstenfeld1-3SV Lebring
SC Fürstenfeld3-4SV Lebring
SC Fürstenfeld1-0SV Lebring

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Fürstenfeld 1477 · SV Lebring 1471

	SC Fürstenfeld	Draw	SV Lebring
Our model	37%	22%	41%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Lebring: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Fürstenfeld	SV Lebring
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.4	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.34 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +18’	2.50	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +51’	2.44	3.55	2.31
11:41 +23’	2.45▲	3.47▼	2.33▲
16:35 +25’	2.46▲	3.45▼	2.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Fürstenfeld 2–1–3 SV Lebring

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	3-3 HT 0-1	SV Lebring
19/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	1-0 HT 1-0	SC Fürstenfeld
31/10/24 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	2-1 HT 0-1	SV Lebring
19/04/24 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	1-3 HT 0-0	SV Lebring
09/05/23 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	3-4 HT 2-3	SV Lebring
27/05/22 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Lebring

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TWL Elektra	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
2	Red Star Penzing	4	4	0	0	8	2	12
3	SV Schwechat	4	3	0	1	9	3	9
4	LAC Inter	4	3	0	1	9	7	9
5	Sportunion Mauer	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	FV Austria XIII	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
8	Post SV	4	1	1	2	12	7	4
9	Helfort 15	4	1	1	2	10	6	4
10	Slovan HAC	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	First Vienna II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
12	WAF Brigittenau	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
13	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
14	FC 1980 Wien	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
15	Hellas Kagran	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	Simmeringer SC	4	0	0	4	2	16	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Fürstenfeld	SV Lebring
SV Wildon	0-4 L	3-6 L
SV Pachern	0-2 L	0-1 L
Leoben DSV	2-1 W	2-0 W
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	1-1 D	2-2 D
UFC Fehring	1-2 L	4-2 W
ASK Koflach	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Lebring (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Fürstenfeld

WLWDLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
04/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
28/08	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
29/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
22/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-2	5	0	W
13/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	11	1	W

SV Lebring

WWLWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
04/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
29/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-4	6	5	L
14/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-4	0-5	3	5	L
29/05	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-1	4-2	6	3	W
23/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-3	3-6	6	3	L
17/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Fürstenfeld vs SV Lebring?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Lebring win (40%). Probabilities: SC Fürstenfeld 36%, draw 23%, SV Lebring 40%.

How many goals are expected in SC Fürstenfeld vs SV Lebring?

The model expects 3.96 goals (SC Fürstenfeld 1.93 · SV Lebring 2.03), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Fürstenfeld vs SV Lebring?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.