Football · Austria Landesliga · 13/10, 19:00
Prediction: SV Pachern vs Leoben DSV
Team pages: SV Pachern · Leoben DSV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
SV Pachern2.66
Leoben DSV0.85
1X2
SV Pachern
Draw
Leoben DSV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Pachern
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Leoben DSV
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Pachern
1–1
Leoben DSV
(2 last)
- Leoben DSV3-2SV Pachern
- SV Pachern4-0Leoben DSV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Pachern 1500 · Leoben DSV 1372
| SV Pachern | Draw | Leoben DSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| Market | 76% | 14% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Pachern (rating 1500 vs 1372).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Pachern | Leoben DSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Pachern 1–0–1 Leoben DSV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Austria Landesliga | Leoben DSV | 3-2 HT 1-0 | SV Pachern |
| 19/09/25 Austria Landesliga | SV Pachern | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Leoben DSV |
Standings · Austria Landesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportunion Mauer | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 2 | Red Star Penzing | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | LAC Inter | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC II | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | TWL Elektra | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Helfort 15 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | SV Schwechat | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | First Vienna II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Kagran | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 10 | Slovan HAC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 11 | FC 1980 Wien | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
| 12 | FV Austria XIII | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | WAF Brigittenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Post SV | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 5 |
| 16 | Simmeringer SC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SV Pachern | Leoben DSV |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schladming | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| St. Anna am Aigen | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| SC Fürstenfeld | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| TUS Bad Waltersdorf | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Grossklein | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| SC Bruck an der Mur | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Pachern
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | FC Schladming Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/10 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/09 | UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 11/09 | SV Lebring Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Grossklein Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 12 | 5 | L |
Leoben DSV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga |
1-3 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Grossklein Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/09 | SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga |
0-4 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 15/09 | USV Gnas Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga |
2-2 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | SV Wildon Austria Landesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/08 | FC Schladming Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Pachern vs Leoben DSV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Pachern win (76%). Probabilities: SV Pachern 76%, draw 15%, Leoben DSV 9%.
How many goals are expected in SV Pachern vs Leoben DSV?
The model expects 3.52 goals (SV Pachern 2.66 · Leoben DSV 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Pachern vs Leoben DSV?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.