Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Salzburger AK vs SV Schwarzach

Team pages: Salzburger AK · SV Schwarzach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Salzburger AK2.29

SV Schwarzach0.87

1X2

69% 19% 12%

Salzburger AK Draw SV Schwarzach

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Salzburger AK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLWD

SV Schwarzach 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Salzburger AK 1–1 SV Schwarzach (2 last)

Salzburger AK2-1SV Schwarzach
SV Schwarzach1-0Salzburger AK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salzburger AK 1524 · SV Schwarzach 1399

	Salzburger AK	Draw	SV Schwarzach
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salzburger AK (rating 1524 vs 1399).
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salzburger AK	SV Schwarzach
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 10	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7 / 1	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:50 +15’	1.30	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salzburger AK 1–0–1 SV Schwarzach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Austria Landesliga	Salzburger AK	2-1 HT 2-1	SV Schwarzach
09/11/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwarzach	1-0 HT 0-0	Salzburger AK

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	9	7	2	0	26	5	23
2	LAC Inter	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
3	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
4	TWL Elektra	9	6	1	2	19	14	19
5	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	9	5	1	3	17	13	16
7	First Vienna II	9	4	1	4	21	19	13
8	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
9	WAF Brigittenau	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
10	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
11	Slovan HAC	9	2	3	4	11	16	9
12	Hellas Kagran	9	2	2	5	15	19	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	9	1	4	4	10	20	7
15	Simmeringer SC	9	2	0	7	5	25	6
16	Post SV	9	1	2	6	17	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salzburger AK	SV Schwarzach
SC Golling	3-1 W	0-2 L
TSV Neumarkt	3-2 W	1-3 L
ATSV Salzburg	1-0 W	1-1 D
USK Anif	0-2 L	0-3 L
SV Burmoos	1-2 L	0-4 L
SV Strasswalchen	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Salzburger AK (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salzburger AK

LLLWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/10	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-4	–	–	L
24/09	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-2	10	8	W
04/09	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
21/08	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

SV Schwarzach

LLLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
11/10	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
04/10	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	0	1	L
18/09	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
13/09	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
21/08	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salzburger AK vs SV Schwarzach?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salzburger AK win (69%). Probabilities: Salzburger AK 69%, draw 19%, SV Schwarzach 12%.

How many goals are expected in Salzburger AK vs SV Schwarzach?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Salzburger AK 2.29 · SV Schwarzach 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salzburger AK vs SV Schwarzach?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.