Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Lendorf vs Launsdorf

Team pages: Lendorf · Launsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Lendorf2.3

Launsdorf1.5

1X2

55% 22% 24%

Lendorf Draw Launsdorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Lendorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLDL

Launsdorf 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lendorf 1490 · Launsdorf 1506

	Lendorf	Draw	Launsdorf
Our model	55%	21%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lendorf	Launsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	1.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +10’	1.65	4.10	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	9	7	2	0	26	5	23
2	LAC Inter	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
3	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
4	TWL Elektra	9	6	1	2	19	14	19
5	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	9	5	1	3	17	13	16
7	First Vienna II	9	4	1	4	21	19	13
8	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
9	WAF Brigittenau	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
10	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
11	Slovan HAC	9	2	3	4	11	16	9
12	Hellas Kagran	9	2	2	5	15	19	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	9	1	4	4	10	20	7
15	Simmeringer SC	9	2	0	7	5	25	6
16	Post SV	9	1	2	6	17	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lendorf	Launsdorf
SC Landskron	0-3 L	2-3 L
TSU Matrei	3-3 D	0-0 D
SV Spittal/Drau	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sirnitz	3-1 W	4-1 W
ATUS Ferlach	1-3 L	2-1 W
SV Dellach/Gail	4-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Launsdorf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lendorf

LWLWWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
04/10	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/09	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
18/09	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	4-0	7-2	–	–	W
04/09	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	St.Michael/Lavanttal Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Launsdorf

WWWLDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
09/10	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
03/10	SV Seeboden Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
20/09	SC Landskron Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
13/09	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/09	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
30/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
21/08	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lendorf vs Launsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lendorf win (55%). Probabilities: Lendorf 55%, draw 22%, Launsdorf 24%.

How many goals are expected in Lendorf vs Launsdorf?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Lendorf 2.3 · Launsdorf 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lendorf vs Launsdorf?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.