Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 24/07, 13:00
Prediction: FSC Mariupol vs FC Viktoriya Sumy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
FSC Mariupol1.45
FC Viktoriya Sumy0.85
1X2
FSC Mariupol
Draw
FC Viktoriya Sumy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FSC Mariupol
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FC Viktoriya Sumy
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FSC Mariupol
3–2–1
FC Viktoriya Sumy
(6 last)
- FSC Mariupol2-0FC Viktoriya Sumy
- FC Viktoriya Sumy1-2FSC Mariupol
- FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1FSC Mariupol
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FSC Mariupol: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FSC Mariupol | FC Viktoriya Sumy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 3.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FSC Mariupol 3–2–1 FC Viktoriya Sumy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Mariupol | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 08/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FSC Mariupol |
| 03/11/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FSC Mariupol |
| 11/09/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Mariupol | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 01/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FSC Mariupol |
| 27/07/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Mariupol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Chernigiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ingulets Petrovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nyva Ternopil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PFC Oleksandria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UCSA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FSC Mariupol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FSC Mariupol | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
|---|---|---|
| FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Probiy Horodenka | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ingulets Petrovo | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Metalurg Zaporizhya | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Livyi Bereh | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Viktoriya Sumy (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FSC Mariupol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/04 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
FC Viktoriya Sumy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | FC Livyi Bereh Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 01/06 | FSC Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FSC Mariupol vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FSC Mariupol win (50%). Probabilities: FSC Mariupol 50%, draw 29%, FC Viktoriya Sumy 21%.
How many goals are expected in FSC Mariupol vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?
The model expects 2.3 goals (FSC Mariupol 1.45 · FC Viktoriya Sumy 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FSC Mariupol vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.