Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 24/07, 15:00
Prediction: PFC Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
PFC Oleksandria1.36
Nyva Ternopil0.73
1X2
PFC Oleksandria
Draw
Nyva Ternopil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
PFC Oleksandria
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Nyva Ternopil
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PFC Oleksandria
2–0
Nyva Ternopil
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PFC Oleksandria 1442 · Nyva Ternopil 1465
| PFC Oleksandria | Draw | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PFC Oleksandria: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Oleksandria | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Oleksandria 2–0–0 Nyva Ternopil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/15 Ukraine Persha Liga | Nyva Ternopil | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PFC Oleksandria |
| 31/08/14 Ukraine Persha Liga | PFC Oleksandria | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nyva Ternopil |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Chernigiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ingulets Petrovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nyva Ternopil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PFC Oleksandria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UCSA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FSC Mariupol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Oleksandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Nyva Ternopil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FSC Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Oleksandria win (52%). Probabilities: PFC Oleksandria 52%, draw 27%, Nyva Ternopil 21%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?
The model expects 2.09 goals (PFC Oleksandria 1.36 · Nyva Ternopil 0.73), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.