Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: Nyva Ternopil vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Team pages: Nyva Ternopil · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Nyva Ternopil1.08
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1.14
1X2
Nyva Ternopil
Draw
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Nyva Ternopil
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nyva Ternopil
2–3–1
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
(6 last)
- Nyva Ternopil1-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
- Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1-1Nyva Ternopil
- Nyva Ternopil2-1Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
- Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk3-0Nyva Ternopil
- Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk0-0Nyva Ternopil
- Nyva Ternopil1-0Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nyva Ternopil 1461 · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1522
| Nyva Ternopil | Draw | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk (rating 1461 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Nyva Ternopil: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nyva Ternopil | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.7 | 3.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nyva Ternopil 2–3–1 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | Nyva Ternopil | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
| 22/09/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nyva Ternopil |
| 03/11/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | Nyva Ternopil | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
| 11/09/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Nyva Ternopil |
| 06/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nyva Ternopil |
| 06/08/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Nyva Ternopil | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | PFC Oleksandria | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Ingulets Petrovo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | UCSA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Chernigiv | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Nyva Ternopil | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nyva Ternopil | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
|---|---|---|
| Ingulets Petrovo | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| PFC Oleksandria | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nyva Ternopil (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nyva Ternopil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 24/07 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nyva Ternopil vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk win (37%). Probabilities: Nyva Ternopil 34%, draw 30%, Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 37%.
How many goals are expected in Nyva Ternopil vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Nyva Ternopil 1.08 · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nyva Ternopil vs Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.