Football · Denmark Cup · 06/08, 18:00

Prediction: Naestved vs Hvidovre IF

Team pages: Naestved · Hvidovre IF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Naestved1.17
Hvidovre IF1.77
1X2
25% 24% 51%
Naestved Draw Hvidovre IF
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Naestved 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLWWDD
Hvidovre IF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWDDDW
Head-to-head
Naestved 4–1–1 Hvidovre IF (6 last)
  • Naestved1-0Hvidovre IF
  • Hvidovre IF2-3Naestved
  • Naestved3-2Hvidovre IF
  • Hvidovre IF0-4Naestved
  • Naestved2-2Hvidovre IF
  • Naestved0-2Hvidovre IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naestved 1508 · Hvidovre IF 1467
NaestvedDrawHvidovre IF
Our model24%26%50%
Market26%22%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naestved (rating 1508 vs 1467).
  • H2H favours Naestved: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NaestvedHvidovre IF
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.61.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.20.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/22/56%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.33 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Naestved 411 Hvidovre IF

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/01/26
Europe Friendlies
Naestved1-0
HT 1-0
Hvidovre IF
04/06/23
Denmark Division 1
Hvidovre IF2-3
HT 2-2
Naestved
02/04/23
Denmark Division 1
Naestved3-2
HT 0-2
Hvidovre IF
14/10/22
Denmark Division 1
Hvidovre IF0-4
HT 0-1
Naestved
24/07/22
Denmark Division 1
Naestved2-2
HT 1-2
Hvidovre IF
19/07/20
Denmark Division 1
Naestved0-2
HT 0-0
Hvidovre IF

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNaestvedHvidovre IF
HB Køge 2-0 W 1-0 W
Vendsyssel FF 2-4 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naestved

LLWLWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-2 64 D
19/07 FC Helsingor
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 41 D
18/07 HB Køge
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 W
13/07 IFK Varnamo
Club Friendly List
2-0 W
06/06 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-4 44 L
29/05 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-1 4-1 42 W
23/05 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 60 L
16/05 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-2 45 L
09/05 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-3 1-3 26 L

Hvidovre IF

DLLLWWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 42 W
25/07 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
2-0 2-2 53 D
18/07 Vejle
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 34 D
11/07 Hansa Rostock
Europe Friendlies
2-2 2-2 54 D
07/07 Fremad Amager
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 75 W
03/07 HB Køge
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 82 W
28/06 Brondby
Europe Friendlies
1-4 1-8 50 L
31/05 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-2 103 L
25/05 Esbjerg
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-4 33 L
16/05 AC Horsens
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naestved vs Hvidovre IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hvidovre IF win (51%). Probabilities: Naestved 25%, draw 24%, Hvidovre IF 51%.

How many goals are expected in Naestved vs Hvidovre IF?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Naestved 1.17 · Hvidovre IF 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Naestved vs Hvidovre IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.