Football · Denmark Cup · 05/08, 18:30
Prediction: Tarup-Paarup vs Vejle
Team pages: Vejle
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Tarup-Paarup0.64
Vejle2.3
1X2
Tarup-Paarup
Draw
Vejle
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Tarup-Paarup
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Vejle
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tarup-Paarup 1416 · Vejle 1519
| Tarup-Paarup | Draw | Vejle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 18% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 16% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vejle (rating 1416 vs 1519).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tarup-Paarup | Vejle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tarup-Paarup
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Hobro IK 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Holstebro Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | ASA Aarhus Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Vorup FB Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Aarhus Fremad 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Hobro IK 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Holstebro Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | ASA Aarhus Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Vorup FB Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Aarhus Fremad 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Vejle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Hvidovre IF Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Hillerød Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Randers FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Esbjerg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tarup-Paarup vs Vejle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vejle win (75%). Probabilities: Tarup-Paarup 9%, draw 17%, Vejle 75%.
How many goals are expected in Tarup-Paarup vs Vejle?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Tarup-Paarup 0.64 · Vejle 2.3), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tarup-Paarup vs Vejle?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.