Football · Denmark Cup · 04/08, 18:00
Prediction: Oure FA vs FC Fredericia
Team pages: FC Fredericia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Oure FA0.77
FC Fredericia2.77
1X2
Oure FA
Draw
FC Fredericia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Oure FA
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Fredericia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oure FA 1447 · FC Fredericia 1548
| Oure FA | Draw | FC Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 5% | 13% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fredericia (rating 1447 vs 1548).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oure FA | FC Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.5 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.5 | 3.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oure FA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Vorup FB Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Aarhus Fremad 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Hobro IK 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Holstebro Denmark Series Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | ASA Aarhus Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Vorup FB Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Aarhus Fremad 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Hobro IK 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Holstebro Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | ASA Aarhus Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
FC Fredericia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Esbjerg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | CD Mafra Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Holstein Kiel Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oure FA vs FC Fredericia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fredericia win (80%). Probabilities: Oure FA 6%, draw 14%, FC Fredericia 80%.
How many goals are expected in Oure FA vs FC Fredericia?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Oure FA 0.77 · FC Fredericia 2.77), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oure FA vs FC Fredericia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.