Prediction: Aries Toshima FC vs Nihon University
Expected goals: 2.7 (Aries Toshima FC 1.57 · Nihon University 1.13). The model gives 48% home, 25% draw, 28% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Aries Toshima FC with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Nihon University has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Aries Toshima FC won 0 and Nihon University 2.
| Aries Toshima FC | Draw | Nihon University | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Nihon University: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aries Toshima FC | Nihon University | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aries Toshima FC 0–0–2 Nihon University
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Japan Regional League | Nihon University | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aries Toshima FC |
| 07/06/25 Japan Regional League | Aries Toshima FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Nihon University |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aries Toshima FC | Nihon University |
|---|---|---|
| EDO ALL United | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Nankatsu SC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Tokyo 23 FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Tokyo United FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Toho Titanium | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Toin Yokohama University | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Aries Toshima FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aries Toshima FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Nihon University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aries Toshima FC vs Nihon University?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aries Toshima FC win (48%). Probabilities: Aries Toshima FC 48%, draw 25%, Nihon University 28%.
How many goals are expected in Aries Toshima FC vs Nihon University?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Aries Toshima FC 1.57 · Nihon University 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aries Toshima FC vs Nihon University?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.