Prediction: FC Basara Hyogo vs AS Laranja Kyoto
Expected goals: 4.3 (FC Basara Hyogo 3.15 · AS Laranja Kyoto 1.15). The model gives 84% home, 10% draw, 6% away. Under 4.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Basara Hyogo sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while AS Laranja Kyoto arrives on a 2-2-6 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for FC Basara Hyogo and 0 for AS Laranja Kyoto.
| FC Basara Hyogo | Draw | AS Laranja Kyoto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 2% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Basara Hyogo (rating 1588 vs 1421).
- H2H favours FC Basara Hyogo: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Basara Hyogo | AS Laranja Kyoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.2 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Basara Hyogo 2–0–0 AS Laranja Kyoto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Japan Regional League | AS Laranja Kyoto | 0-5 HT 0-2 | FC Basara Hyogo |
| 21/09/25 Japan Regional League | FC Basara Hyogo | 6-2 HT 0-0 | AS Laranja Kyoto |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Basara Hyogo | AS Laranja Kyoto |
|---|---|---|
| Moriyama Samurai | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Velago Ikoma | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Asuka FC | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ococias Kyoto AC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Basara Hyogo (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Basara Hyogo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Asuka FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Ococias Kyoto AC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/11 | Cobaltore Onagawa Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/11 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/11 | Fukuyama City FC Japan Regional Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/09 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
AS Laranja Kyoto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Ococias Kyoto AC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Asuka FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
1-4 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Kobe FC 1970 Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Basara Hyogo vs AS Laranja Kyoto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Basara Hyogo win (84%). Probabilities: FC Basara Hyogo 84%, draw 10%, AS Laranja Kyoto 6%.
How many goals are expected in FC Basara Hyogo vs AS Laranja Kyoto?
The model expects 4.3 goals (FC Basara Hyogo 3.15 · AS Laranja Kyoto 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Basara Hyogo vs AS Laranja Kyoto?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.