Prediction: Tokyo United FC vs Nankatsu SC
Expected goals: 2.7 (Tokyo United FC 1.45 · Nankatsu SC 1.25). The model gives 41% home, 27% draw, 32% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tokyo United FC sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Nankatsu SC arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Tokyo United FC and 3 for Nankatsu SC.
| Tokyo United FC | Draw | Nankatsu SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Nankatsu SC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo United FC | Nankatsu SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.7 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo United FC 2–0–3 Nankatsu SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Tokyo United FC |
| 01/06/25 Japan Regional League | Tokyo United FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Nankatsu SC |
| 21/07/24 Japan Regional League | Tokyo United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nankatsu SC |
| 14/04/24 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 2-0 | Tokyo United FC |
| 04/09/22 Japan Regional League | Tokyo United FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nankatsu SC |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo United FC | Nankatsu SC |
|---|---|---|
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Tokyo 23 FC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Toin Yokohama University | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Aries Toshima FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Shibuya City FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tokyo United FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/11 | J-Lease FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/11 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/11 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/11 | Fukuyama City FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Nankatsu SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/09 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo United FC vs Nankatsu SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokyo United FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tokyo United FC 41%, draw 27%, Nankatsu SC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo United FC vs Nankatsu SC?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Tokyo United FC 1.45 · Nankatsu SC 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo United FC vs Nankatsu SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.