Football · Japan Regional League · 04/07, 08:00

Prediction: Tokyo 23 FC vs Toin Yokohama University

Expected goals: 2.91 (Tokyo 23 FC 1.74 · Toin Yokohama University 1.18). The model gives 50% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Tokyo 23 FC sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while Toin Yokohama University arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo 23 FC won 3 and Toin Yokohama University 1.

50%1
50% 26% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo 23 FC 1497 · Toin Yokohama University 1487
Tokyo 23 FCDrawToin Yokohama University
Our model49%26%25%
Market50%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.91Tokyo 23 FC 1.74 · Toin Yokohama University 1.18
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tokyo 23 FC: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tokyo 23 FCToin Yokohama University
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.21.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo 23 FC 301 Toin Yokohama University

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/25
Japan Regional League
Tokyo 23 FC1-0
HT 0-0
Toin Yokohama University
01/06/25
Japan Regional League
Toin Yokohama University1-2
HT 0-0
Tokyo 23 FC
07/09/24
Japan Regional League
Tokyo 23 FC1-3
HT 0-1
Toin Yokohama University
02/06/24
Japan Regional League
Toin Yokohama University1-6
HT 1-1
Tokyo 23 FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTokyo 23 FCToin Yokohama University
EDO ALL United 1-3 L 0-2 L
Nankatsu SC 3-3 D 0-0 D
Tokyo United FC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Toho Titanium 0-0 D 1-2 L
Nihon University 1-1 D 3-2 W
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Toin Yokohama University (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo 23 FC

WLLDDDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-3 66 L
07/06 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-2 3-3 74 D
31/05 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Japan Regional League
0-0 2-0 31 W
16/05 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 33 D
05/05 Aries Toshima FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-1 42 D
11/04 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 63 D
05/04 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-1 42 D
21/09 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-1 43 L
13/09 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-4 1-5 64 L
06/09 Toin Yokohama University
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 92 W

Toin Yokohama University

DWWLDLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Shibuya City FC
Japan Regional League
1-0 3-3 43 D
30/05 Toho Titanium
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-2 53 L
16/05 Nihon University
Japan Regional League
3-0 3-2 40 W
02/05 Tokyo United FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-1 14 W
19/04 EDO ALL United
Japan Regional League
0-2 0-2 34 L
12/04 Nankatsu SC
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 43 D
20/12 Niigata University H&W
Japan University Championship
0-0 1-2 01 L
17/12 Hiroshima University
Japan University Championship
0-0 2-1 71 W
17/12 Hiroshima Economics University
Japan University Championship
0-0 2-1 71 W
16/12 Momoyama Gakuin University
Japan University Championship
2-1 2-2 41 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo 23 FC vs Toin Yokohama University?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokyo 23 FC win (50%). Probabilities: Tokyo 23 FC 50%, draw 26%, Toin Yokohama University 25%.

How many goals are expected in Tokyo 23 FC vs Toin Yokohama University?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Tokyo 23 FC 1.74 · Toin Yokohama University 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tokyo 23 FC vs Toin Yokohama University?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.