Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: VST Volkermarkt vs SVG Bleiburg

Team pages: VST Volkermarkt · SVG Bleiburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

VST Volkermarkt2.1

SVG Bleiburg1.1

1X2

60% 22% 19%

VST Volkermarkt Draw SVG Bleiburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

VST Volkermarkt 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDWLWW

SVG Bleiburg 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

VST Volkermarkt 3–1–2 SVG Bleiburg (6 last)

SVG Bleiburg0-2VST Volkermarkt
VST Volkermarkt2-1SVG Bleiburg
SVG Bleiburg5-1VST Volkermarkt
SVG Bleiburg4-6VST Volkermarkt
SVG Bleiburg1-0VST Volkermarkt
VST Volkermarkt2-2SVG Bleiburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VST Volkermarkt 1550 · SVG Bleiburg 1437

	VST Volkermarkt	Draw	SVG Bleiburg
Our model	59%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VST Volkermarkt (rating 1550 vs 1437).
H2H favours VST Volkermarkt: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VST Volkermarkt	SVG Bleiburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.6	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:34 +9’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VST Volkermarkt 3–1–2 SVG Bleiburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SVG Bleiburg	0-2 HT 0-0	VST Volkermarkt
17/05/26 Austria Landesliga	VST Volkermarkt	2-1 HT 1-1	SVG Bleiburg
11/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SVG Bleiburg	5-1 HT 1-0	VST Volkermarkt
17/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SVG Bleiburg	4-6 HT 2-3	VST Volkermarkt
23/03/24 Austria Landesliga	SVG Bleiburg	1-0 HT 0-0	VST Volkermarkt
08/08/23 Austria Landesliga	VST Volkermarkt	2-2 HT 2-1	SVG Bleiburg

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	13	7	5	1	21	13	26
2	SK Treibach	13	7	2	4	25	17	23
3	VST Volkermarkt	13	7	2	4	25	13	23
4	Austria Klagenfurt	13	7	2	4	22	18	23
5	WAC St Andra II	13	5	3	5	22	21	18
6	ATSV Wolfsberg	13	2	5	6	11	28	11
7	SVG Bleiburg	13	2	4	7	16	22	10
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	13	1	5	7	13	23	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VST Volkermarkt	SVG Bleiburg
WAC St Andra II	1-0 W	0-2 L
Austria Klagenfurt	3-0 W	1-1 D
SV Donau Klagenfurt	1-3 L	3-1 W
ATSV Wolfsberg	4-1 W	0-1 L
Atus Velden	0-0 D	2-4 L
SK Treibach	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VST Volkermarkt (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VST Volkermarkt

WLLWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
16/10	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
02/10	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
18/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-0	12	2	W
12/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-0	3	9	W
04/09	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
28/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/08	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	3-1	5-3	6	5	W

SVG Bleiburg

LDWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
17/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/10	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
25/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
19/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-2	7	9	L
04/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
22/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	3-4	0	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VST Volkermarkt vs SVG Bleiburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VST Volkermarkt win (60%). Probabilities: VST Volkermarkt 60%, draw 22%, SVG Bleiburg 19%.

How many goals are expected in VST Volkermarkt vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model expects 3.2 goals (VST Volkermarkt 2.1 · SVG Bleiburg 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VST Volkermarkt vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.