Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SK Treibach

Team pages: SV Donau Klagenfurt · SK Treibach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

SV Donau Klagenfurt1.3

SK Treibach1.94

1X2

25% 24% 51%

SV Donau Klagenfurt Draw SK Treibach

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau Klagenfurt 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLLWDD

SK Treibach 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLWLW

Head-to-head

SV Donau Klagenfurt 0–2–2 SK Treibach (4 last)

SK Treibach0-0SV Donau Klagenfurt
SK Treibach3-1SV Donau Klagenfurt
SV Donau Klagenfurt1-6SK Treibach
SK Treibach1-1SV Donau Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau Klagenfurt 1458 · SK Treibach 1510

	SV Donau Klagenfurt	Draw	SK Treibach
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Treibach (rating 1458 vs 1510).
H2H favours SK Treibach: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau Klagenfurt	SK Treibach
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.65 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:41 +2’	4.00	4.00	1.65
03:33 +6’	3.60▼	3.90▼	1.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau Klagenfurt 0–2–2 SK Treibach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SK Treibach	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Donau Klagenfurt
18/01/25 Europe Friendlies	SK Treibach	3-1 HT 1-1	SV Donau Klagenfurt
16/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau Klagenfurt	1-6 HT 0-4	SK Treibach
29/09/23 Austria Landesliga	SK Treibach	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Donau Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	13	7	5	1	21	13	26
2	SK Treibach	13	7	2	4	25	17	23
3	VST Volkermarkt	13	7	2	4	25	13	23
4	Austria Klagenfurt	13	7	2	4	22	18	23
5	WAC St Andra II	13	5	3	5	22	21	18
6	ATSV Wolfsberg	13	2	5	6	11	28	11
7	SVG Bleiburg	13	2	4	7	16	22	10
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	13	1	5	7	13	23	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Donau Klagenfurt	SK Treibach
ATSV Wolfsberg	1-1 D	1-2 L
Atus Velden	1-1 D	1-2 L
VST Volkermarkt	3-1 W	0-3 L
SVG Bleiburg	1-3 L	1-0 W
WAC St Andra II	0-3 L	5-4 W
Austria Klagenfurt	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau Klagenfurt

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/10	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
10/10	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
26/09	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
22/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
04/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
29/08	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
21/08	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	1-3	3-5	4	5	L

SK Treibach

WWLDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
16/10	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	1-3	5-4	7	9	W
02/10	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
27/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
18/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
11/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
04/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
28/08	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
21/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SK Treibach?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Treibach win (51%). Probabilities: SV Donau Klagenfurt 25%, draw 24%, SK Treibach 51%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SK Treibach?

The model expects 3.24 goals (SV Donau Klagenfurt 1.3 · SK Treibach 1.94), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SK Treibach?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.