Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: SV Tillmitsch vs FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

Team pages: SV Tillmitsch · FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

SV Tillmitsch1.87

FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II1.61

1X2

44% 23% 33%

SV Tillmitsch Draw FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Tillmitsch 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDLDDLWL

FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDDWWW

Head-to-head

SV Tillmitsch 1–2–1 FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II (4 last)

FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II2-2SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch2-1FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II
FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II5-0SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch0-0FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Tillmitsch 1463 · FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II 1510

	SV Tillmitsch	Draw	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	44%	22%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II (rating 1463 vs 1510).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Tillmitsch	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.50 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +5’	2.15	4.00	2.50
22:48 +4’	2.70▲	4.10▲	2.00▼
11:03 +3’	2.00▼	4.10	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Tillmitsch 1–2–1 FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	2-2 HT 1-1	SV Tillmitsch
05/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Tillmitsch	2-1 HT 2-1	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II
04/10/25 Austria Landesliga	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	5-0 HT 3-0	SV Tillmitsch
02/11/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Tillmitsch	0-0 HT 0-0	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Steiermark

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deutschlandsberger SC	13	6	5	2	26	20	23
2	SC Weiz	13	5	6	2	21	12	21
3	SC Kalsdorf	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
4	SV Lafnitz	13	4	7	2	28	26	19
5	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	13	4	4	5	22	27	16
6	SV Tillmitsch	13	3	5	5	20	26	14
7	FC Gleisdorf 09	13	4	2	7	20	26	14
8	SV Allerheiligen	13	3	3	7	23	26	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Tillmitsch	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II
SC Weiz	0-5 L	2-0 W
SV Allerheiligen	3-1 W	4-3 W
Deutschlandsberger SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
SV Lafnitz	2-2 D	3-3 D
FC Gleisdorf 09	0-0 D	4-1 W
SC Kalsdorf	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Tillmitsch

DLDDLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
23/10	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
16/10	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/10	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
02/10	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
19/09	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
11/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-2	5	8	D
04/09	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-5	3	4	L
28/08	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-2	3	4	D

FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II

LLLDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/10	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/10	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	2-3	4-3	–	–	W
10/10	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
02/10	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
26/09	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
11/09	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
04/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	1-4	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Tillmitsch vs FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Tillmitsch win (44%). Probabilities: SV Tillmitsch 44%, draw 23%, FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II 33%.

How many goals are expected in SV Tillmitsch vs FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II?

The model expects 3.49 goals (SV Tillmitsch 1.87 · FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II 1.61), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Tillmitsch vs FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.