Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Gleisdorf 09 vs SC Weiz

Team pages: FC Gleisdorf 09 · SC Weiz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

FC Gleisdorf 091.41

SC Weiz2

1X2

26% 25% 50%

FC Gleisdorf 09 Draw SC Weiz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gleisdorf 09 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDWLWW

SC Weiz 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDWDLW

Head-to-head

FC Gleisdorf 09 2–1–3 SC Weiz (6 last)

SC Weiz2-1FC Gleisdorf 09
FC Gleisdorf 091-3SC Weiz
SC Weiz1-1FC Gleisdorf 09
FC Gleisdorf 093-1SC Weiz
SC Weiz1-0FC Gleisdorf 09
FC Gleisdorf 093-1SC Weiz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gleisdorf 09 1478 · SC Weiz 1539

	FC Gleisdorf 09	Draw	SC Weiz
Our model	26%	24%	50%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Weiz (rating 1478 vs 1539).
H2H favours SC Weiz: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gleisdorf 09	SC Weiz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:51 +12’	3.60	3.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gleisdorf 09 2–1–3 SC Weiz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SC Weiz	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Gleisdorf 09
08/09/26 Austria Amateur Cup	FC Gleisdorf 09	1-3 HT 1-2	SC Weiz
20/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	SC Weiz	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Gleisdorf 09
22/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	FC Gleisdorf 09	3-1 HT 2-1	SC Weiz
23/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	SC Weiz	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Gleisdorf 09
25/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	FC Gleisdorf 09	3-1 HT 2-0	SC Weiz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Steiermark

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deutschlandsberger SC	13	6	5	2	26	20	23
2	SC Weiz	13	5	6	2	21	12	21
3	SC Kalsdorf	13	5	4	4	19	16	19
4	SV Lafnitz	13	4	7	2	28	26	19
5	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	13	4	4	5	22	27	16
6	SV Tillmitsch	13	3	5	5	20	26	14
7	FC Gleisdorf 09	13	4	2	7	20	26	14
8	SV Allerheiligen	13	3	3	7	23	26	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gleisdorf 09	SC Weiz
SV Allerheiligen	2-0 W	1-0 W
Deutschlandsberger SC	5-3 W	0-0 D
SV Lafnitz	2-4 L	3-3 D
SC Kalsdorf	2-1 W	0-0 D
SV Tillmitsch	0-0 D	5-0 W
FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	1-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gleisdorf 09

LLDLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
23/10	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	3-1	5-3	0	5	W
16/10	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	2-4	3	2	L
09/10	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
02/10	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
18/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/09	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-4	1	4	L
28/08	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	1-3	5	6	L

SC Weiz

DWDWDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
24/10	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
16/10	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/10	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/10	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/09	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	1-3	3-3	–	–	D
18/09	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
04/09	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gleisdorf 09 vs SC Weiz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Weiz win (50%). Probabilities: FC Gleisdorf 09 26%, draw 25%, SC Weiz 50%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gleisdorf 09 vs SC Weiz?

The model expects 3.4 goals (FC Gleisdorf 09 1.41 · SC Weiz 2), with a 59% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gleisdorf 09 vs SC Weiz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.