Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs Parndorf

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · Parndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

SV Leobendorf1.64

Parndorf1.6

1X2

39% 24% 37%

SV Leobendorf Draw Parndorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLLL

Parndorf 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 3–1 Parndorf (4 last)

Parndorf1-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf4-2Parndorf
SV Leobendorf3-1Parndorf
Parndorf0-2SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1431 · Parndorf 1577

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	Parndorf
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1431 vs 1577).
H2H favours SV Leobendorf: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	Parndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +2’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 3–0–1 Parndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
16/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	4-2 HT 3-2	Parndorf
06/04/19 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	3-1 HT 2-0	Parndorf
07/09/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	0-2 HT 0-2	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Favoritner AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCM Traiskirchen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kremser SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Wiener Viktoria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Parndorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Donau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gloggnitz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Horn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Leobendorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oberwart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Wienerberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wiener Sportclub	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SV Leobendorf

LLLWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	SCR Altach Austria Cup	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
18/07	FK Laktasi Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
18/07	FK Laktasi Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
17/07	DJK Kammer Club Friendly List	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
14/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
10/07	Floridsdorfer AC Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	2	0	L
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
22/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
15/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	4	L

Parndorf

DLWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Cup	1-1	3-1	8	6	W
14/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
08/07	SK Pama Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	9	0	W
26/06	FK Austria Vienna Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
22/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	8	6	W
09/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
05/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-4	1	2	L
24/04	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs Parndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Leobendorf win (39%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 39%, draw 24%, Parndorf 37%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs Parndorf?

The model expects 3.25 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.64 · Parndorf 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs Parndorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.