Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 07/08, 19:30

Prediction: FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: FCM Traiskirchen · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

FCM Traiskirchen2.2

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.9

1X2

44% 23% 33%

FCM Traiskirchen Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FCM Traiskirchen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLLWD

SR Fach-Donaufeld 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLWLW

Head-to-head

FCM Traiskirchen 1–2–3 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

FCM Traiskirchen3-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld4-1FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen1-3SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-1FCM Traiskirchen
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-2FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen1-3SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCM Traiskirchen 1521 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1496

	FCM Traiskirchen	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	45%	22%	34%
Market	44%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SR Fach-Donaufeld: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCM Traiskirchen	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7.5	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.80

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.55 → 2.75▲	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:01 +1’	2.20	3.75	2.55
04:48 +6’	2.05▼	3.80▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FCM Traiskirchen 1–2–3 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	3-2 HT 1-2	SR Fach-Donaufeld
04/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-1 HT 3-0	FCM Traiskirchen
02/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	1-3 HT 0-2	SR Fach-Donaufeld
05/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-1 HT 0-1	FCM Traiskirchen
18/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-2 HT 0-1	FCM Traiskirchen
20/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	1-3 HT 1-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
2	SV Gloggnitz	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	Wiener Sportclub	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Oberwart	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	FCM Traiskirchen	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
8	Kremser SC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Parndorf	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	SV Donau	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	SV Leobendorf	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	SV Horn	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	Favoritner AC	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
14	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	SV Wienerberg	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCM Traiskirchen	SR Fach-Donaufeld
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	3-1 W	0-2 L
TWL Elektra	3-0 W	4-2 W
SV Horn	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FCM Traiskirchen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FCM Traiskirchen

WWWWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	15	4	D
24/07	SVG Bleiburg Austria Cup	1-0	4-0	10	5	W
03/06	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-5	10	4	L
28/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-4	12	3	L
22/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
15/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-2	2	10	W
08/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	0	5	W
30/04	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	9	3	W
24/04	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
17/04	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	3-2	5	3	W

SR Fach-Donaufeld

LWWLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
25/07	Grazer AK Austria Cup	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
17/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
14/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-4	1-6	6	2	L
10/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
03/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W
22/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCM Traiskirchen win (44%). Probabilities: FCM Traiskirchen 44%, draw 23%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 33%.

How many goals are expected in FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 4.1 goals (FCM Traiskirchen 2.2 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FCM Traiskirchen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.