Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 07/08, 19:00
Prediction: Parndorf vs SV Donau
Team pages: Parndorf · SV Donau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.02Total
Parndorf2.63
SV Donau1.39
1X2
Parndorf
Draw
SV Donau
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Parndorf
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
SV Donau
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Parndorf
2–0
SV Donau
(2 last)
- SV Donau2-5Parndorf
- Parndorf2-0SV Donau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Parndorf 1578 · SV Donau 1422
| Parndorf | Draw | SV Donau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1578 vs 1422).
- H2H favours Parndorf: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parndorf | SV Donau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parndorf 2–0–0 SV Donau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost | SV Donau | 2-5 HT 2-2 | Parndorf |
| 21/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost | Parndorf | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SV Donau |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | SV Gloggnitz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Wiener Sportclub | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | SR Fach-Donaufeld | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Oberwart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FCM Traiskirchen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Kremser SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Parndorf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | SV Donau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | SV Leobendorf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | SC Wiener Viktoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | SV Horn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | SV Wienerberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parndorf
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | SK Pama Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Austria Vienna Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost |
4-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
SV Donau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Hellas Kagran Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | St Polten II Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | Simmeringer SC Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 01/05 | Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parndorf vs SV Donau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Parndorf win (63%). Probabilities: Parndorf 63%, draw 20%, SV Donau 18%.
How many goals are expected in Parndorf vs SV Donau?
The model expects 4.02 goals (Parndorf 2.63 · SV Donau 1.39), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Parndorf vs SV Donau?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.