Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · SV Horn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.71

SV Horn1.58

1X2

41% 24% 35%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw SV Horn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDLWL

SV Horn 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWLDD

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 2–2–1 SV Horn (5 last)

SV Horn1-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld3-3SV Horn
SR Fach-Donaufeld0-0SV Horn
SV Horn0-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld3-5SV Horn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1463 · SV Horn 1470

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	SV Horn
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SR Fach-Donaufeld: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Horn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.5	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:08 +4’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 2–2–1 SV Horn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	1-2 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
06/02/26 Europe Friendlies	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-3 HT 3-1	SV Horn
08/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Horn
29/06/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Horn	0-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
13/01/24 Europe Friendlies	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-5 HT 1-3	SV Horn

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Favoritner AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCM Traiskirchen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kremser SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Wiener Viktoria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Parndorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Donau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gloggnitz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Horn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Leobendorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oberwart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Wienerberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wiener Sportclub	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Horn
TWL Elektra	4-2 W	5-1 W
Kremser SC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SV Horn (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SR Fach-Donaufeld

LLWWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Grazer AK Austria Cup	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
17/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
14/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-4	1-6	6	2	L
10/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
03/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W
22/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
01/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	7	5	L

SV Horn

LWLLWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Floridsdorfer AC Austria Cup	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
07/07	Floridsdorfer AC Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
26/06	St Polten Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-3	1	0	L
05/06	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
22/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	12	4	L
09/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
02/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	5	3	L
24/04	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/04	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
10/04	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (41%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 41%, draw 24%, SV Horn 35%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn?

The model expects 3.29 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.71 · SV Horn 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Horn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.