Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 01/08, 17:00

Prediction: SV Wienerberg vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: SV Wienerberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

SV Wienerberg1.58

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.8

1X2

33% 24% 43%

SV Wienerberg Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Wienerberg 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Marchfeld Donauauen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Wienerberg 0–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (1 last)

SV Wienerberg1-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Wienerberg 1562 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1544

	SV Wienerberg	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Wienerberg	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:46 +32’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Wienerberg 0–0–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Europe Friendlies	SV Wienerberg	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Favoritner AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCM Traiskirchen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kremser SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Wiener Viktoria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Parndorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Donau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gloggnitz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Horn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Leobendorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oberwart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Wienerberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wiener Sportclub	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SV Wienerberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Rapid Vienna Austria Cup	0-1	0-3	0	0	L
22/07	SC Wiener Viktoria Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
12/06	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	4	2	W
06/06	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	5	0	W
31/05	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	3-1	3-1	3	2	W
22/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Amateur Cup	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
16/05	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/05	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-1	4	3	W
02/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-4	3	2	L
10/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-2	7	0	D
03/07	SC Kalsdorf Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
26/06	SC Weiz Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
03/06	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
22/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
01/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-2	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Wienerberg vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (43%). Probabilities: SV Wienerberg 33%, draw 24%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 43%.

How many goals are expected in SV Wienerberg vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 3.38 goals (SV Wienerberg 1.58 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.8), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Wienerberg vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.