Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 vs SV Gloggnitz

Team pages: Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Mattersburger Sportverein 20201.31

SV Gloggnitz1.97

1X2

25% 22% 53%

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Draw SV Gloggnitz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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SV Gloggnitz 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1455 · SV Gloggnitz 1489

	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	Draw	SV Gloggnitz
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	26%	20%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	SV Gloggnitz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +19’	3.40	4.50	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Favoritner AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCM Traiskirchen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kremser SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Wiener Viktoria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Parndorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Donau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gloggnitz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Horn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Leobendorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oberwart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Wienerberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wiener Sportclub	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria Cup	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
17/07	Oberwart Austria Amateur Cup	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
10/07	Besiktas Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-1	4	0	W
26/06	SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
06/06	Jennersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/05	St Margarethen/Bur Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/05	Oberwart Austria Amateur Cup	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
23/05	ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	ASK Kohfidisch Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

SV Gloggnitz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	1	0	L
21/07	Wiener Neustadt Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/06	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-5	1-6	8	5	L
29/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-4	4	2	L
22/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
30/04	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
24/04	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
17/04	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
10/04	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	7-4	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 vs SV Gloggnitz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Gloggnitz win (53%). Probabilities: Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 25%, draw 22%, SV Gloggnitz 53%.

How many goals are expected in Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1.31 · SV Gloggnitz 1.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.