Football · Wales Premier League · 15/09, 20:45
Prediction: T.N.S. vs Flint Town Utd
Team pages: T.N.S. · Flint Town Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
T.N.S.2.76
Flint Town Utd0.76
1X2
T.N.S.
Draw
Flint Town Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
T.N.S.
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Flint Town Utd
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
T.N.S.
6–0
Flint Town Utd
(6 last)
- Flint Town Utd0-3T.N.S.
- T.N.S.4-2Flint Town Utd
- T.N.S.5-0Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd1-4T.N.S.
- T.N.S.5-1Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd1-8T.N.S.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · T.N.S. 1638 · Flint Town Utd 1410
| T.N.S. | Draw | Flint Town Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 83% | 12% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours T.N.S. (rating 1638 vs 1410).
- H2H favours T.N.S.: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| T.N.S. | Flint Town Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 7.3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · T.N.S. 6–0–0 Flint Town Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/25 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 0-3 HT 0-2 | T.N.S. |
| 23/09/25 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Flint Town Utd |
| 15/10/24 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 16/08/24 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 1-4 HT 0-2 | T.N.S. |
| 02/08/24 Wales League Cup | T.N.S. | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 10/01/23 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 1-8 HT 1-4 | T.N.S. |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 22 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Penybont | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Llandudno | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Airbus UK | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | Cambrian United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
| 14 | Trefelin BGC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 2 |
| 15 | Ammanford AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | T.N.S. | Flint Town Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Caernarfon Town | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Cardiff MU | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Briton Ferry | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Haverfordwest County | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Penybont | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Connah's Quay | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
T.N.S.
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
Flint Town Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Flint Town Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (81%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 81%, draw 13%, Flint Town Utd 6%.
How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Flint Town Utd?
The model expects 3.52 goals (T.N.S. 2.76 · Flint Town Utd 0.76), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Flint Town Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.