Football · France Ligue 3 · 17/10, 14:45

Prediction: Bourg-Peronnas vs FC Fleury 91

Team pages: Bourg-Peronnas · FC Fleury 91

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Bourg-Peronnas1.13
FC Fleury 911.45
1X2
28% 29% 43%
Bourg-Peronnas Draw FC Fleury 91
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bourg-Peronnas 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLDDL
FC Fleury 91 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Bourg-Peronnas 0–1–1 FC Fleury 91 (2 last)
  • FC Fleury 913-0Bourg-Peronnas
  • Bourg-Peronnas2-2FC Fleury 91
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bourg-Peronnas 1419 · FC Fleury 91 1488
Bourg-PeronnasDrawFC Fleury 91
Our model28%29%43%
Market28%29%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fleury 91 (rating 1419 vs 1488).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bourg-PeronnasFC Fleury 91
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.51.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.71.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.15.1 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bourg-Peronnas 0–1–1 FC Fleury 91

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/03/26
France Ligue 3
FC Fleury 913-0
HT 1-0
Bourg-Peronnas
21/10/25
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas2-2
HT 1-0
FC Fleury 91

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBourg-PeronnasFC Fleury 91
Rouen 0-2 L 1-2 L
Caen 0-2 L 3-2 W
Aubagne Air Bel 0-2 L 1-2 L
Thionville FC 0-2 L 1-1 D
Valenciennes 0-2 L 2-1 W
Villefranche 3-2 W 6-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fleury 91 (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bourg-Peronnas

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 23 L
26/09 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 06 D
19/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 15 D
12/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 –– L
05/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 92 L
29/08 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 410 L
20/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 75 L
14/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 64 L
07/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-2 53 W
09/05 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 85 W

FC Fleury 91

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 03 W
26/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 65 L
19/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 86 D
12/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-1 58 W
05/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
3-0 6-1 26 W
29/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 46 L
20/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 58 L
14/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
07/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
15/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bourg-Peronnas vs FC Fleury 91?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fleury 91 win (43%). Probabilities: Bourg-Peronnas 28%, draw 29%, FC Fleury 91 43%.

How many goals are expected in Bourg-Peronnas vs FC Fleury 91?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Bourg-Peronnas 1.13 · FC Fleury 91 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bourg-Peronnas vs FC Fleury 91?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.