Prediction: Aubagne Air Bel vs Le Puy
Team pages: Aubagne Air Bel · Le Puy
- Aubagne Air Bel0-1Le Puy
- Le Puy1-2Aubagne Air Bel
- Aubagne Air Bel1-4Le Puy
| Aubagne Air Bel | Draw | Le Puy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Puy (rating 1458 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Le Puy: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aubagne Air Bel | Le Puy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aubagne Air Bel 1–0–2 Le Puy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Club Friendly List | Aubagne Air Bel | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Le Puy |
| 10/04/26 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aubagne Air Bel |
| 07/11/25 France Ligue 3 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1-4 HT 1-4 | Le Puy |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aubagne Air Bel | Le Puy |
|---|---|---|
| SC Bastia | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Le Puy (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Le Puy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aubagne Air Bel vs Le Puy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Le Puy win (39%). Probabilities: Aubagne Air Bel 32%, draw 29%, Le Puy 39%.
How many goals are expected in Aubagne Air Bel vs Le Puy?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Aubagne Air Bel 1.13 · Le Puy 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aubagne Air Bel vs Le Puy?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.