Football · France Ligue 3 · 17/10, 14:45

Prediction: Paris 13 Atletico vs Rouen

Team pages: Paris 13 Atletico · Rouen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Paris 13 Atletico0.77
Rouen1.1
1X2
26% 31% 44%
Paris 13 Atletico Draw Rouen
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Paris 13 Atletico 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWDDLDWL
Rouen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWWLW
Head-to-head
Paris 13 Atletico 1–2–3 Rouen (6 last)
  • Paris 13 Atletico0-0Rouen
  • Rouen3-0Paris 13 Atletico
  • Rouen2-2Paris 13 Atletico
  • Paris 13 Atletico1-0Rouen
  • Paris 13 Atletico1-2Rouen
  • Rouen3-2Paris 13 Atletico
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris 13 Atletico 1484 · Rouen 1611
Paris 13 AtleticoDrawRouen
Our model24%34%42%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1484 vs 1611).
  • H2H favours Rouen: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paris 13 AtleticoRouen
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 11.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.34.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris 13 Atletico 1–2–3 Rouen

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/26
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico0-0
HT 0-0
Rouen
17/10/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen3-0
HT 2-0
Paris 13 Atletico
09/05/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen2-2
HT 1-1
Paris 13 Atletico
17/01/25
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico1-0
HT 1-0
Rouen
11/01/20
France National 2
Paris 13 Atletico1-2
HT 0-1
Rouen
17/08/19
France National 2
Rouen3-2
HT 1-1
Paris 13 Atletico

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParis 13 AtleticoRouen
Bourg-Peronnas 1-1 D 2-0 W
Caen 0-2 L 2-3 L
Aubagne Air Bel 0-0 D 1-0 W
Thionville FC 1-1 D 4-0 W
Valenciennes 2-1 W 1-1 D
Villefranche 0-2 L 2-0 W
US Quevilly 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rouen (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris 13 Atletico

LWLWDDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 47 L
26/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 67 W
19/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 75 D
12/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 63 L
05/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
29/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 15 D
20/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
14/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 28 L
07/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 72 W
15/05 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 32 L

Rouen

WDWWWDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 63 W
24/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-3 2-3 37 L
19/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 73 W
12/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 28 W
04/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 106 D
29/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 95 W
20/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
2-0 3-0 31 W
14/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
07/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 –– D
15/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 85 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris 13 Atletico vs Rouen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rouen win (44%). Probabilities: Paris 13 Atletico 26%, draw 31%, Rouen 44%.

How many goals are expected in Paris 13 Atletico vs Rouen?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Paris 13 Atletico 0.77 · Rouen 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Paris 13 Atletico vs Rouen?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.