Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 05/07, 08:00

Prediction: Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)

Expected goals: 3.37 (Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1.72 · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1.65). The model gives 39% home, 25% draw, 36% away. Over 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Tuggeranong Utd (W) sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Tuggeranong Utd (W) and 5 for West Canberra Wanderers FC (W).

39%1
39% 25% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1422 · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1442
Tuggeranong Utd (W)DrawWest Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
Our model39%25%36%
Market39%25%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.37Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1.72 · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1.65
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours West Canberra Wanderers FC (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tuggeranong Utd (W)West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 2.50.5 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.40.4 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.13 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.6 / 00.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 105 West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Tuggeranong Utd (W)
26/04/26
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
Tuggeranong Utd (W)2-0
HT 1-0
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
27/07/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)11-0Tuggeranong Utd (W)
01/06/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
Tuggeranong Utd (W)1-5
HT 1-2
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
06/04/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)5-1
HT 2-0
Tuggeranong Utd (W)
25/08/24
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)4-1
HT 3-0
Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Belconnen United (W) 131210 86437
2 Canberra Croatia FC (W) 131021 52532
3 Canberra Olympic (W) 13724 281423
4 West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 13319 85010
5 Tuggeranong Utd (W) 13229 8428
6 Majura FC (W) 130211 1682

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTuggeranong Utd (W)West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
Canberra Olympic (W) 0-1 L 0-3 L
Belconnen United (W) 0-8 L 0-7 L
Canberra Croatia FC (W) 0-3 L 1-8 L
Majura FC (W) 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tuggeranong Utd (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tuggeranong Utd (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Canberra Olympic (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 11 L
21/06 Belconnen United (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-5 0-8 00 L
14/06 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-2 0-3 10 L
31/05 Majura FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-0 1-1 110 D
24/05 West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-1 0-1 01 L
20/05 Belconnen United (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-1 0-4 00 L
17/05 Canberra Olympic (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 03 D
10/05 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-5 0-6 01 L
03/05 Majura FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 90 W
26/04 West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-0 2-0 90 W

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-3 1-8 02 L
21/06 Majura FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-0 0-0 122 D
14/06 Belconnen United (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-4 0-7 01 L
31/05 Canberra Olympic (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-1 0-3 30 L
24/05 Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-0 1-0 21 W
20/05 Majura FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-0 1-0 80 W
17/05 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-0 0-2 10 L
10/05 Belconnen United (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-7 1-8 10 L
03/05 Canberra Olympic (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
1-2 1-7 31 L
26/04 Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
0-1 0-2 30 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tuggeranong Utd (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Tuggeranong Utd (W) 39%, draw 25%, West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1.72 · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.