Prediction: Canberra Olympic (W) vs Belconnen United (W)
Expected goals: 3.54 (Canberra Olympic (W) 0.77 · Belconnen United (W) 2.77). The model gives 6% home, 13% draw, 81% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves Canberra Olympic (W) with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Belconnen United (W) has piled up 9-1-0 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Canberra Olympic (W) won 1 and Belconnen United (W) 5.
| Canberra Olympic (W) | Draw | Belconnen United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belconnen United (W) (rating 1499 vs 1634).
- H2H favours Belconnen United (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canberra Olympic (W) | Belconnen United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.8 | 4.4 / 9.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Olympic (W) 1–0–5 Belconnen United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
| 26/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 20/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
| 20/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
| 01/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Olympic (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 05/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Canberra Olympic (W) |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belconnen United (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 4 | 37 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | Canberra Olympic (W) | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 10 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 8 |
| 6 | Majura FC (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 68 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Olympic (W) | Belconnen United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 1-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Majura FC (W) | 3-0 W | 10-0 W |
| West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 3-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belconnen United (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Olympic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-1 | 7-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
Belconnen United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
6-0 | 10-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 8-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
11-0 | 17-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
7-0 | 8-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Belconnen United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belconnen United (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Canberra Olympic (W) 6%, draw 13%, Belconnen United (W) 81%.
How many goals are expected in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Belconnen United (W)?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Canberra Olympic (W) 0.77 · Belconnen United (W) 2.77), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Belconnen United (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.