Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 12/07, 07:00
Prediction: Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Belconnen United (W)2.26
Canberra Croatia FC (W)1.17
1X2
Belconnen United (W)
Draw
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Belconnen United (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belconnen United (W)
5–1–0
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belconnen United (W) 1636 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1595
| Belconnen United (W) | Draw | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belconnen United (W) (rating 1636 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Belconnen United (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 16.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belconnen United (W) | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 6.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 9.2 | 1.4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belconnen United (W) 5–1–0 Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 03/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 07/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 10/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
| 22/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Belconnen United (W) |
| 27/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United (W) | 4-3 HT 2-3 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belconnen United (W) | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 4 | 40 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 63 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | Canberra Olympic (W) | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 11 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 9 |
| 6 | Majura FC (W) | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 79 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belconnen United (W) | Canberra Croatia FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra Olympic (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Majura FC (W) | 10-0 W | 11-0 W |
| Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 8-0 W | 3-0 W |
| West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 7-0 W | 8-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Canberra Croatia FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belconnen United (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
6-0 | 10-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 8-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
11-0 | 17-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
7-0 | 8-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-0 | 11-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-1 | 8-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belconnen United (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Belconnen United (W) 61%, draw 22%, Canberra Croatia FC (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Belconnen United (W) 2.26 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Belconnen United (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.