Prediction: Arterivo Wakayama vs Moriyama Samurai
Expected goals: 2.62 (Arterivo Wakayama 2 · Moriyama Samurai 0.62). The model gives 71% home, 19% draw, 11% away. Under 3 goals (57%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Arterivo Wakayama with 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Moriyama Samurai has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Arterivo Wakayama and 1 for Moriyama Samurai.
| Arterivo Wakayama | Draw | Moriyama Samurai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arterivo Wakayama (rating 1538 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Arterivo Wakayama: 2-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arterivo Wakayama | Moriyama Samurai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arterivo Wakayama 2–0–1 Moriyama Samurai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Japan Regional League | Moriyama Samurai | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Arterivo Wakayama |
| 07/09/24 Japan Regional League | Moriyama Samurai | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Arterivo Wakayama |
| 09/06/24 Japan Regional League | Arterivo Wakayama | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Moriyama Samurai |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arterivo Wakayama | Moriyama Samurai |
|---|---|---|
| Velago Ikoma | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Asuka FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cento Cuore Harima | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| AS Laranja Kyoto | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Arterivo Wakayama (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arterivo Wakayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Asuka FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Ococias Kyoto AC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Gakunan F Mosuperio Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/11 | Toyama Shinjo Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 07/11 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/07 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Moriyama Samurai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Asuka FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 07/09 | Arterivo Wakayama Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | FC AWJ Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Velago Ikoma Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arterivo Wakayama vs Moriyama Samurai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arterivo Wakayama win (71%). Probabilities: Arterivo Wakayama 71%, draw 19%, Moriyama Samurai 11%.
How many goals are expected in Arterivo Wakayama vs Moriyama Samurai?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Arterivo Wakayama 2 · Moriyama Samurai 0.62), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Arterivo Wakayama vs Moriyama Samurai?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.