Prediction: Velago Ikoma vs Asuka FC
Expected goals: 2.88 (Velago Ikoma 1.57 · Asuka FC 1.31). The model gives 43% home, 27% draw, 31% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Velago Ikoma with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Asuka FC has piled up 1-6-3 in the same span.
| Velago Ikoma | Draw | Asuka FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Velago Ikoma (rating 1517 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velago Ikoma | Asuka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velago Ikoma | Asuka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Arterivo Wakayama | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Basara Hyogo | 2-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Cento Cuore Harima | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| AS Laranja Kyoto | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Moriyama Samurai | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ococias Kyoto AC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Velago Ikoma (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velago Ikoma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Arterivo Wakayama Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Ococias Kyoto AC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
4-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Kobe FC 1970 Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Arterivo Wakayama Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Asuka FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ococias Kyoto AC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Arterivo Wakayama Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | FC Basara Hyogo Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Cento Cuore Harima Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | AS Laranja Kyoto Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Moriyama Samurai Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/11 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/11 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/11 | Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velago Ikoma vs Asuka FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velago Ikoma win (43%). Probabilities: Velago Ikoma 43%, draw 27%, Asuka FC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Velago Ikoma vs Asuka FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Velago Ikoma 1.57 · Asuka FC 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Velago Ikoma vs Asuka FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.