Football · Austria League 1 Women · 23/10, 18:00
Prediction: SK Sturm Graz (W) vs LASK Linz (W)
Team pages: SK Sturm Graz (W) · LASK Linz (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
SK Sturm Graz (W)2.3
LASK Linz (W)0.99
1X2
SK Sturm Graz (W)
Draw
LASK Linz (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sturm Graz (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
LASK Linz (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Sturm Graz (W)
3–2
LASK Linz (W)
(5 last)
- LASK Linz (W)0-2SK Sturm Graz (W)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)0-1LASK Linz (W)
- LASK Linz (W)1-4SK Sturm Graz (W)
- LASK Linz (W)2-1SK Sturm Graz (W)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)3-2LASK Linz (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sturm Graz (W) 1571 · LASK Linz (W) 1488
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | Draw | LASK Linz (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sturm Graz (W) (rating 1571 vs 1488).
- H2H favours SK Sturm Graz (W): 3-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | LASK Linz (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.3 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sturm Graz (W) 3–0–2 LASK Linz (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Austria League 1 Women | LASK Linz (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 18/10/25 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | LASK Linz (W) |
| 16/08/25 Austria League 1 Women | LASK Linz (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 09/03/25 Austria League 1 Women | LASK Linz (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 12/10/24 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | LASK Linz (W) |
Standings · Austria League 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | FK Austria Vienna (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 22 |
| 3 | SKN St Polten (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | SCR Altach (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Salzburg (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | LASK Linz (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 8 | Rapid Vienna (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 5 |
| 10 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Sturm Graz (W) | LASK Linz (W) |
|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| SKN St Polten (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Austria Vienna (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Rapid Vienna (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| FC Salzburg (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SK Sturm Graz (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sturm Graz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
LASK Linz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs LASK Linz (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sturm Graz (W) win (66%). Probabilities: SK Sturm Graz (W) 66%, draw 20%, LASK Linz (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs LASK Linz (W)?
The model expects 3.3 goals (SK Sturm Graz (W) 2.3 · LASK Linz (W) 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs LASK Linz (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.