Football · Austria League 1 Women · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: Rapid Vienna (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

Team pages: Rapid Vienna (W) · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Rapid Vienna (W)2.22

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)1.08

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Rapid Vienna (W) Draw FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Vienna (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna (W) 0–1–0 FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) (1 last)

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)2-2Rapid Vienna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna (W) 1447 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1448

	Rapid Vienna (W)	Draw	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Our model	62%	21%	16%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Vienna (W)	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	0.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.1	1.2 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +9’	1.40	4.50	5.50
04:01 +3’	1.42▲	4.50	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna (W) 0–1–0 FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Austria League 1 Women	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Rapid Vienna (W)

Standings · Austria League 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Sturm Graz (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
2	SKN St Polten (W)	10	8	1	1	31	7	25
3	FK Austria Vienna (W)	10	7	2	1	29	3	23
4	FC Salzburg (W)	11	6	1	4	16	15	19
5	SCR Altach (W)	10	5	2	3	20	16	17
6	LASK Linz (W)	11	3	2	6	12	20	11
7	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	11	1	6	4	14	22	9
8	Rapid Vienna (W)	10	1	4	5	9	22	7
9	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)	11	1	3	7	7	28	6
10	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W)	11	1	1	9	5	31	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Vienna (W)	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
SKN St Polten (W)	0-4 L	1-9 L
First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
FK Austria Vienna (W)	0-6 L	0-5 L
FC Salzburg (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
SK Sturm Graz (W)	0-2 L	1-3 L
LASK Linz (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
SCR Altach (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Rapid Vienna (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-4	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	1-1	12	1	D
04/10	FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-3	0-6	1	4	L
26/09	FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
12/09	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
29/08	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
16/08	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
02/08	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	3-3	0	4	D

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
17/10	FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
03/10	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
27/09	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
19/09	SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-5	1-9	3	0	L
13/09	FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-2	0-5	0	1	L
29/08	SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-3	1-3	0	3	L
23/08	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/08	Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
08/08	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rapid Vienna (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna (W) 63%, draw 20%, FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Rapid Vienna (W) 2.22 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.