Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 08/08, 13:00
Prediction: Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Karlsruher SC1.88
Arminia Bielefeld2.09
1X2
Karlsruher SC
Draw
Arminia Bielefeld
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Karlsruher SC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Arminia Bielefeld
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Karlsruher SC
3–2–1
Arminia Bielefeld
(6 last)
- Karlsruher SC4-1Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld4-0Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC4-2Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld1-2Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC3-3Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld2-2Karlsruher SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karlsruher SC 1496 · Arminia Bielefeld 1578
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arminia Bielefeld (rating 1496 vs 1578).
- H2H favours Karlsruher SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Karlsruher SC | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.1 / 2 | 3.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlsruher SC 3–2–1 Arminia Bielefeld
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Germany Bundesliga II | Karlsruher SC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 08/11/25 Germany Bundesliga II | Arminia Bielefeld | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Karlsruher SC |
| 16/04/23 Germany Bundesliga II | Karlsruher SC | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 07/10/22 Germany Bundesliga II | Arminia Bielefeld | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Karlsruher SC |
| 21/06/20 Germany Bundesliga II | Karlsruher SC | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 06/12/19 Germany Bundesliga II | Arminia Bielefeld | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Karlsruher SC |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cottbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hannover 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karlsruher SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | TSG Hoffenheim Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Inter Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | SGV Freiberg Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | VfB Gaggenau Club Friendly List |
– | 13-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | FC Germania 07 Untergrombach Club Friendly List |
14-0 | 27-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Paderborn Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Elversberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Arminia Bielefeld
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Bologna Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | SC Imst Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Gutersloh 2000 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | SC Peckeloh Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-4 | 13 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arminia Bielefeld win (42%). Probabilities: Karlsruher SC 34%, draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld 42%.
How many goals are expected in Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Karlsruher SC 1.88 · Arminia Bielefeld 2.09), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.