Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 15/08, 13:00
Prediction: VfL Osnabruck vs Magdeburg
Team pages: VfL Osnabruck · Magdeburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
VfL Osnabruck1.63
Magdeburg1.63
1X2
VfL Osnabruck
Draw
Magdeburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
VfL Osnabruck
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Magdeburg
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VfL Osnabruck
0–1–5
Magdeburg
(6 last)
- VfL Osnabruck3-4Magdeburg
- Magdeburg1-1VfL Osnabruck
- VfL Osnabruck0-2Magdeburg
- VfL Osnabruck1-5Magdeburg
- Magdeburg2-1VfL Osnabruck
- Magdeburg2-0VfL Osnabruck
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VfL Osnabruck 1516 · Magdeburg 1556
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magdeburg (rating 1516 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Magdeburg: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VfL Osnabruck | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 4.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VfL Osnabruck 0–1–5 Magdeburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/24 Club Friendly List | VfL Osnabruck | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Magdeburg |
| 28/04/24 Germany Bundesliga II | Magdeburg | 1-1 HT 1-1 | VfL Osnabruck |
| 25/11/23 Germany Bundesliga II | VfL Osnabruck | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Magdeburg |
| 14/05/22 Germany 3. Liga | VfL Osnabruck | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Magdeburg |
| 11/12/21 Germany 3. Liga | Magdeburg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | VfL Osnabruck |
| 25/03/18 Germany 3. Liga | Magdeburg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | VfL Osnabruck |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Darmstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | St Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VfL Osnabruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II |
2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Paderborn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | SC Melle Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | SSV Ulm 1846 Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Magdeburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | West Ham Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Paderborn Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | BSG Chemie Leipzig Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FSV Havelberg 1911 Club Friendly List |
14-0 | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Blau Weiss Neuenhofe Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VfL Osnabruck vs Magdeburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a VfL Osnabruck win (37%). Probabilities: VfL Osnabruck 37%, draw 26%, Magdeburg 37%.
How many goals are expected in VfL Osnabruck vs Magdeburg?
The model expects 3.26 goals (VfL Osnabruck 1.63 · Magdeburg 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in VfL Osnabruck vs Magdeburg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.