Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 16/08, 13:30
Prediction: Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus
Team pages: Arminia Bielefeld · Cottbus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Arminia Bielefeld2.23
Cottbus1.52
1X2
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
Cottbus
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Arminia Bielefeld
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Cottbus
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1–1
Cottbus
(4 last)
- Arminia Bielefeld0-2Cottbus
- Cottbus1-2Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld3-0Cottbus
- Cottbus1-1Arminia Bielefeld
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arminia Bielefeld 1564 · Cottbus 1577
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arminia Bielefeld: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arminia Bielefeld | Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.6 / 1.2 | 5.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arminia Bielefeld 2–1–1 Cottbus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/25 Germany 3. Liga | Arminia Bielefeld | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cottbus |
| 04/08/24 Germany 3. Liga | Cottbus | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 04/04/15 Germany 3. Liga | Arminia Bielefeld | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cottbus |
| 28/09/14 Germany 3. Liga | Cottbus | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Arminia Bielefeld |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Darmstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | St Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arminia Bielefeld
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Bologna Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | SC Imst Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Gutersloh 2000 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | SC Peckeloh Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Cottbus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Werder Bremen Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Dresden Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Mlada Boleslav Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Hertha Berlin II Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | VSG Altglienicke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Lsv Bergen Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | SV Lok Calau Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 17-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arminia Bielefeld win (52%). Probabilities: Arminia Bielefeld 52%, draw 23%, Cottbus 24%.
How many goals are expected in Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Arminia Bielefeld 2.23 · Cottbus 1.52), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Arminia Bielefeld vs Cottbus?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.