Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Hertha Berlin vs Heidenheim

Team pages: Hertha Berlin · Heidenheim

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Hertha Berlin2.07
Heidenheim1.68
1X2
45% 25% 30%
Hertha Berlin Draw Heidenheim
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hertha Berlin 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWWDDW
Heidenheim 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWDLWW
Head-to-head
Hertha Berlin 2–0 Heidenheim (2 last)
  • Hertha Berlin2-1Heidenheim
  • Heidenheim2-3Hertha Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hertha Berlin 1564 · Heidenheim 1560
Hertha BerlinDrawHeidenheim
Our model46%23%31%
Market44%27%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hertha Berlin: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hertha BerlinHeidenheim
Goals for / against (FT)3.7 / 1.43.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.52 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.52.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.11.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hertha Berlin 200 Heidenheim

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/10/24
Germany DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin2-1
HT 1-0
Heidenheim
10/02/16
Germany DFB Pokal
Heidenheim2-3
HT 1-2
Hertha Berlin

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Eintracht Braunschweig 1100 613
2 Nurnberg 1100 303
3 Cottbus 1100 313
4 Heidenheim 1100 433
5 Karlsruher SC 1100 213
6 Hertha Berlin 1100 103
7 Holstein Kiel 1010 221
7 Darmstadt 1010 221
9 St Pauli 1010 111
9 Greuther Furth 1010 111
11 Kaiserslautern 1010 001
11 Wolfsburg 1010 001
13 VfL Osnabruck 1001 340
14 Arminia Bielefeld 1001 120
15 Bochum 1001 010
16 Hannover 96 1001 130
17 Dynamo Dresden 1001 030
18 Magdeburg 1001 160

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hertha Berlin

LWLWWWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Bochum
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/07 Cologne
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-2 D
21/07 Mamelodi Sundowns
World Club Friendlies
1-1 1-1 20 D
17/07 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-2 93 W
11/07 FC Lok Leipzig
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-1 64 W
08/07 Lichtenberg 47
Europe Friendlies
3-0 9-0 60 W
04/07 Frohnauer SC
Club Friendly List
3-0 15-0 W
17/05 Arminia Bielefeld
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 1-6 23 L
10/05 Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga II
0-0 2-1 24 W
03/05 Magdeburg
Germany Bundesliga II
0-0 0-1 76 L

Heidenheim

WLWLWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 VfL Osnabruck
Germany Bundesliga II
3-2 4-3 43 W
01/08 FC Ingolstadt
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-1 50 W
25/07 Hamburg
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-3 61 L
22/07 Bologna
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 41 D
15/07 TSV Nördlingen
Club Friendly List
5-0 9-0 W
11/07 Sgm Langenau
Club Friendly List
6-0 12-0 W
10/07 Lugano
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 70 L
04/07 SCR Altach
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 30 W
16/05 Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I
0-2 0-2 62 L
10/05 Cologne
Germany Bundesliga I
2-1 3-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hertha Berlin vs Heidenheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hertha Berlin win (45%). Probabilities: Hertha Berlin 45%, draw 25%, Heidenheim 30%.

How many goals are expected in Hertha Berlin vs Heidenheim?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Hertha Berlin 2.07 · Heidenheim 1.68), with a 60% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hertha Berlin vs Heidenheim?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.