Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld

Team pages: Hertha Berlin · Arminia Bielefeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Hertha Berlin2.19

Arminia Bielefeld1.26

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Hertha Berlin Draw Arminia Bielefeld

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hertha Berlin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWD

Arminia Bielefeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Hertha Berlin 1–3–2 Arminia Bielefeld (6 last)

Arminia Bielefeld6-1Hertha Berlin
Hertha Berlin1-1Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld1-1Hertha Berlin
Hertha Berlin2-0Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha Berlin0-0Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld1-0Hertha Berlin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hertha Berlin (rating 1596 vs 1511).
H2H favours Arminia Bielefeld: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hertha Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.75
X	3.99 → 4.14▲	Pinn 4.14
2	3.75 → 4.23▲	Pinn 4.23

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +1’	1.88	3.99	3.75
15:50 +63’	1.79▼	4.07▲	4.06▲
17:54 +21’	1.75▼	4.14▲	4.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hertha Berlin 1–3–2 Arminia Bielefeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Arminia Bielefeld	6-1 HT 0-1	Hertha Berlin
19/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Hertha Berlin	1-1 HT 0-0	Arminia Bielefeld
30/04/22 Germany Bundesliga I	Arminia Bielefeld	1-1 HT 0-0	Hertha Berlin
11/12/21 Germany Bundesliga I	Hertha Berlin	2-0 HT 0-0	Arminia Bielefeld
09/05/21 Germany Bundesliga I	Hertha Berlin	0-0 HT 0-0	Arminia Bielefeld
10/01/21 Germany Bundesliga I	Arminia Bielefeld	1-0 HT 0-0	Hertha Berlin

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	8	7	1	0	19	8	22
2	Nurnberg	8	5	3	0	21	11	18
3	Wolfsburg	8	4	3	1	22	13	15
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	3	1	8	4	15
5	Heidenheim	8	4	2	2	15	15	14
6	Magdeburg	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
7	St Pauli	8	2	5	1	11	9	11
8	Arminia Bielefeld	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
9	Cottbus	8	2	3	3	16	17	9
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	12	13	9
11	Dynamo Dresden	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
11	VfL Osnabruck	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
13	Karlsruher SC	8	2	2	4	10	14	8
14	Hannover 96	8	2	2	4	8	13	8
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	8	2	1	5	13	15	7
16	Bochum	8	2	1	5	5	9	7
17	Darmstadt	8	2	1	5	8	18	7
18	Holstein Kiel	8	0	5	3	7	11	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hertha Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Osnabruck	3-1 W	2-1 W
Heidenheim	4-1 W	2-2 D
Bochum	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hertha Berlin (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hertha Berlin

WLWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/10	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
19/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
06/09	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
28/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	5-3	12	6	W
15/08	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	3-0	4-1	5	4	W
07/08	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
17/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-6	2	3	L
10/05	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-1	2	4	W

Arminia Bielefeld

LWLWLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
11/10	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
20/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	2-2	5	7	D
11/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
29/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-3	1-4	8	2	L
16/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
17/05	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	6-1	9	3	W
08/05	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hertha Berlin win (58%). Probabilities: Hertha Berlin 58%, draw 22%, Arminia Bielefeld 20%.

How many goals are expected in Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Hertha Berlin 2.19 · Arminia Bielefeld 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.