Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 09/08, 13:30
Prediction: Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Nurnberg1.86
Dynamo Dresden1.5
1X2
Nurnberg
Draw
Dynamo Dresden
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nurnberg
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Dynamo Dresden
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nurnberg
4–1–1
Dynamo Dresden
(6 last)
- Nurnberg0-2Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden1-2Nurnberg
- Nurnberg1-1Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden0-1Nurnberg
- Nurnberg2-0Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden0-1Nurnberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nurnberg 1582 · Dynamo Dresden 1577
| Nurnberg | Draw | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nurnberg: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nurnberg | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.1 | 4.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nurnberg 4–1–1 Dynamo Dresden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Germany Bundesliga II | Nurnberg | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dynamo Dresden |
| 07/11/25 Germany Bundesliga II | Dynamo Dresden | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nurnberg |
| 20/03/22 Germany Bundesliga II | Nurnberg | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dynamo Dresden |
| 17/10/21 Germany Bundesliga II | Dynamo Dresden | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nurnberg |
| 20/12/19 Germany Bundesliga II | Nurnberg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Dresden |
| 27/07/19 Germany Bundesliga II | Dynamo Dresden | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nurnberg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cottbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hannover 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nurnberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Oviedo Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 25/07 | Palermo Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Waldhof Mannheim Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Ansbach Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | TSV Kornburg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 10-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Schalke Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Dynamo Dresden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Union Berlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Cottbus Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Grazer AK Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Hessen Kassel Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Lsv Neustadt/Spree Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 14-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | FSV Budissa Bautzen Europe Friendlies |
6-0 | 14-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nurnberg win (44%). Probabilities: Nurnberg 44%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 29%.
How many goals are expected in Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Nurnberg 1.86 · Dynamo Dresden 1.5), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.