Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 09/08, 13:30

Prediction: Cottbus vs Hannover 96

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Cottbus1.69

Hannover 962.02

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Cottbus Draw Hannover 96

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cottbus 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWLWL

Hannover 96 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Cottbus 1–0 Hannover 96 (1 last)

Cottbus1-0Hannover 96

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cottbus 1570 · Hannover 96 1557

	Cottbus	Draw	Hannover 96
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	30%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cottbus	Hannover 96
Goals for / against (FT)	5.4 / 1.4	3.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 2.7 · xG: 5.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:30 +3’	3.00	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cottbus 1–0–0 Hannover 96

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/25 Germany DFB Pokal	Cottbus	1-0 HT 1-0	Hannover 96

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eintracht Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cottbus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Pauli	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hannover 96	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hertha Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VfL Osnabruck	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cottbus

LWWWWDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Werder Bremen Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
25/07	Dynamo Dresden Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/07	Mlada Boleslav Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
04/07	Hertha Berlin II Club Friendly List	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
03/07	VSG Altglienicke Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Lsv Bergen Club Friendly List	8-0	23-0	–	–	W
26/06	SV Lok Calau Club Friendly List	8-0	17-0	–	–	W
16/05	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/05	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
03/05	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Hannover 96

DWDDDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	PEC Zwolle Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
11/07	Paderborn Club Friendly List	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/07	Phonix Lubeck Club Friendly List	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/07	Ramlingen-Ehlershausen Club Friendly List	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
01/07	TSV Pattensen Club Friendly List	2-0	6-1	–	–	W
17/05	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	3-3	8	8	D
09/05	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
03/05	SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	3-3	10	6	D
25/04	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	3-1	2	1	W
18/04	Paderborn Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cottbus vs Hannover 96?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hannover 96 win (44%). Probabilities: Cottbus 31%, draw 25%, Hannover 96 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cottbus vs Hannover 96?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Cottbus 1.69 · Hannover 96 2.02), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cottbus vs Hannover 96?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.