Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 14/08, 18:30

Result and prediction: Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli

Final result

Half time: 0-2

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Holstein Kiel 37%

37% 27% 36%

Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
Our model	38%	26%	37%
Market	37%	28%	36%

Estimated total (goals) 3.12 · actual 4

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.