Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 24/10, 20:30

Prediction: Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern

Team pages: Nurnberg · Kaiserslautern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Nurnberg1.65

Kaiserslautern0.93

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Nurnberg Draw Kaiserslautern

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nurnberg 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWDD

Kaiserslautern 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Nurnberg 2–3–1 Kaiserslautern (6 last)

Nurnberg3-0Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern1-1Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern1-2Nurnberg
Nurnberg0-0Kaiserslautern
Nurnberg1-1Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern2-0Nurnberg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nurnberg (rating 1592 vs 1538).
H2H favours Nurnberg: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nurnberg	Kaiserslautern
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.4	1.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.6	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.94▲	Pinn 1.94
X	3.94 → 3.90▼	Pinn 3.90
2	3.81 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.60

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:15 +79’	1.87	3.94	3.81
16:38 +39’	1.91▲	3.93▼	3.68▼
20:22 +13’	1.94▲	3.90▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nurnberg 2–3–1 Kaiserslautern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	3-0 HT 1-0	Kaiserslautern
26/10/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	1-1 HT 1-0	Nurnberg
12/04/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	1-2 HT 0-1	Nurnberg
08/11/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	0-0 HT 0-0	Kaiserslautern
18/02/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	1-1 HT 0-1	Kaiserslautern
05/12/23 Germany DFB Pokal	Kaiserslautern	2-0 HT 0-0	Nurnberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	8	7	1	0	19	8	22
2	Nurnberg	8	5	3	0	21	11	18
3	Wolfsburg	8	4	3	1	22	13	15
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	3	1	8	4	15
5	Heidenheim	8	4	2	2	15	15	14
6	Magdeburg	8	4	1	3	14	11	13
7	St Pauli	8	2	5	1	11	9	11
8	Arminia Bielefeld	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
9	Cottbus	8	2	3	3	16	17	9
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	12	13	9
11	Dynamo Dresden	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
11	VfL Osnabruck	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
13	Karlsruher SC	8	2	2	4	10	14	8
14	Hannover 96	8	2	2	4	8	13	8
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	8	2	1	5	13	15	7
16	Bochum	8	2	1	5	5	9	7
17	Darmstadt	8	2	1	5	8	18	7
18	Holstein Kiel	8	0	5	3	7	11	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nurnberg	Kaiserslautern
Wolfsburg	4-4 D	0-0 D
Karlsruher SC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Arminia Bielefeld	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nurnberg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nurnberg

WDWWWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/10	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	4-4	6	8	D
19/09	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
29/08	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	3-0	4-1	3	2	W
15/08	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	4-2	3	5	W
09/08	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
17/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	3-3	7	8	D
09/05	Schalke Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	5	4	W

Kaiserslautern

WWDDWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
09/10	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
19/09	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
12/09	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
05/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
30/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
08/08	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/05	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
08/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nurnberg win (53%). Probabilities: Nurnberg 53%, draw 27%, Kaiserslautern 20%.

How many goals are expected in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Nurnberg 1.65 · Kaiserslautern 0.93), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.