Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 08/08, 20:00

Prediction: Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Stade Payerne2.06

La Chaux-de-Fonds1.54

1X2

49% 24% 28%

Stade Payerne Draw La Chaux-de-Fonds

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stade Payerne 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDDWLWW

La Chaux-de-Fonds 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Stade Payerne 0–2 La Chaux-de-Fonds (2 last)

Stade Payerne0-2La Chaux-de-Fonds
La Chaux-de-Fonds4-1Stade Payerne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stade Payerne 1504 · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1476

	Stade Payerne	Draw	La Chaux-de-Fonds
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours La Chaux-de-Fonds: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stade Payerne	La Chaux-de-Fonds
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	0.5 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.85▲	Pinn 2.07 ★
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +45’	1.80	3.75	3.40
23:51 +4’	1.85▲	3.70▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:47 +7’	2.07	3.61	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Payerne 0–0–2 La Chaux-de-Fonds

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	Stade Payerne	0-2	La Chaux-de-Fonds
11/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	La Chaux-de-Fonds	4-1 HT 2-1	Stade Payerne

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Chênois	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Coffrane	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Echallens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lausanne Sport II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Meyrin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Monthey	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Oberwallis Naters	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Portalban Gletterens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Prishtina Bern	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sion II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lancy FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Servette II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Payerne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USI Azzurri	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vevey Sports 05	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stade Payerne	La Chaux-de-Fonds
FC Monthey	3-1 W	2-4 L
FC Amical Saint-Prex	1-1 D	1-3 L
Servette II	0-6 L	1-3 L
FC La Sarraz	4-0 W	3-4 L
Sion II	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Stade Payerne (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stade Payerne

DLWLDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Monthey Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-1	5	0	W
24/07	Yverdon Sport FC II Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
08/07	Breitenrain Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-6	0	0	L
30/05	FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC Martigny Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-2	–	–	D
16/05	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-6	–	–	L
03/05	FC La Sarraz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-0	–	–	W
25/04	La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

La Chaux-de-Fonds

WLWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Delemont Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	2	0	L
14/07	FC Muri Gumligen Europe Friendlies	0-3	1-4	1	1	L
30/05	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-3	–	–	L
17/05	FC La Sarraz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-4	–	–	L
09/05	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Sion II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-4	–	–	L
11/04	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-3	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Payerne win (49%). Probabilities: Stade Payerne 49%, draw 24%, La Chaux-de-Fonds 28%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Stade Payerne 2.06 · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1.54), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.