Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: Lancy FC vs Sion II
Team pages: Sion II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Lancy FC1.56
Sion II1.27
1X2
Lancy FC
Draw
Sion II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lancy FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sion II
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lancy FC
0–4–0
Sion II
(4 last)
- Sion II0-0Lancy FC
- Lancy FC1-1Sion II
- Sion II1-1Lancy FC
- Lancy FC1-1Sion II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lancy FC 1504 · Sion II 1445
| Lancy FC | Draw | Sion II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lancy FC (rating 1504 vs 1445).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lancy FC | Sion II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lancy FC 0–4–0 Sion II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Sion II | 0-0 | Lancy FC |
| 20/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Lancy FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sion II |
| 30/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Sion II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lancy FC |
| 14/09/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic | Lancy FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sion II |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Portalban Gletterens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lancy FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Oberwallis Naters | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Coffrane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Echallens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Monthey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Prishtina Bern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sion II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | CS Chênois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Stade Payerne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Lausanne Sport II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | USI Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports 05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lancy FC | Sion II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Prishtina Bern | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Martigny | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Amical Saint-Prex | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Servette II | 4-1 W | 3-4 L |
| FC La Sarraz | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| La Chaux-de-Fonds | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Lancy FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lancy FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Terre Sainte Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Coffrane Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FC Portalban Gletterens Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Martigny Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | FC La Sarraz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Sion II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Prishtina Bern Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Martigny Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FC La Sarraz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lancy FC vs Sion II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lancy FC win (44%). Probabilities: Lancy FC 44%, draw 25%, Sion II 31%.
How many goals are expected in Lancy FC vs Sion II?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Lancy FC 1.56 · Sion II 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lancy FC vs Sion II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.