Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: FC Freienbach vs FC Baden

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
FC Freienbach1.85
FC Baden1.71
1X2
41% 24% 35%
FC Freienbach Draw FC Baden
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Freienbach 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDWWLD
FC Baden 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDDWWLLDLW
Head-to-head
FC Freienbach 1–1–0 FC Baden (2 last)
  • FC Freienbach3-0FC Baden
  • FC Baden3-3FC Freienbach
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Freienbach 1476 · FC Baden 1502
FC FreienbachDrawFC Baden
Our model41%24%35%
Market41%24%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC FreienbachFC Baden
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.91.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.31.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)75/25/0%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.52 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Freienbach 110 FC Baden

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
FC Freienbach3-0
HT 3-0
FC Baden
16/11/25
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
FC Baden3-3
HT 3-1
FC Freienbach

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Tuggen 1100 303
2 St Gallen II 1100 323
3 FC Baden 1100 213
3 FC Thalwil 1100 213
3 USV Eschen-Mauren 1100 213
6 FC Dietikon 1100 103
7 FC Freienbach 1010 001
7 Gossau 1010 001
7 FC Kosova 1010 001
7 FC Mendrisio 1010 001
11 Locarno 1001 230
12 AC Taverne 1001 120
12 FC Collina d'Oro 1001 120
12 Winterthur II 1001 120
15 FC Wettswil-Bonstetten 1001 010
16 FC Widnau 1001 030

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC FreienbachFC Baden
SV Schaffhausen 3-1 W 3-2 W
FC Kosova 3-3 D 1-1 D
Winterthur II 0-2 L 2-1 W
St Gallen II 0-3 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Baden (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Freienbach

WLLLLDWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Gossau
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/06 FC Rapperswil-Jona
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-3 41 L
30/05 SV Schaffhausen
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
3-1 W
20/05 FC Baden
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
3-0 3-0 43 W
13/05 FC Kosova
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
2-1 3-3 18 D
09/05 Winterthur II
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
0-2 L
02/05 St Gallen II
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
0-3 L
25/04 AC Taverne
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
1-2 L
18/04 FC Tuggen
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
1-5 L
11/04 USV Eschen-Mauren
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
2-0 W

FC Baden

WDDWWLLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Winterthur II
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
2-1 W
04/07 SV Muttenz
Europe Friendlies
2-2 2-3 71 L
30/05 FC Collina d'Oro
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
1-0 2-2 19 D
20/05 FC Freienbach
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
0-3 0-3 53 L
16/05 FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
1-2 L
09/05 SV Schaffhausen
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
3-2 W
02/05 FC Dietikon
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
2-0 2-0 37 W
25/04 FC Kosova
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
1-1 D
18/04 Winterthur II
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
2-2 D
11/04 St Gallen II
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic
4-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Freienbach vs FC Baden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Freienbach win (41%). Probabilities: FC Freienbach 41%, draw 24%, FC Baden 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Freienbach vs FC Baden?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FC Freienbach 1.85 · FC Baden 1.71), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Freienbach vs FC Baden?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.