Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Sion II vs FC Prishtina Bern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Sion II1.78

FC Prishtina Bern1.95

1X2

35% 24% 41%

Sion II Draw FC Prishtina Bern

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sion II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLLDL

FC Prishtina Bern 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Sion II 0–2 FC Prishtina Bern (2 last)

Sion II0-3FC Prishtina Bern
FC Prishtina Bern5-1Sion II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sion II 1414 · FC Prishtina Bern 1554

	Sion II	Draw	FC Prishtina Bern
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Prishtina Bern (rating 1414 vs 1554).
H2H favours FC Prishtina Bern: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sion II	FC Prishtina Bern
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	2.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +14’	2.38	3.60	2.40
16:34 +14’	2.63▲	3.60	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:47	2.73	3.57	2.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sion II 0–0–2 FC Prishtina Bern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	Sion II	0-3	FC Prishtina Bern
09/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Prishtina Bern	5-1 HT 3-0	Sion II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Chênois	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Coffrane	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Echallens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Chaux-de-Fonds	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lausanne Sport II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Meyrin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Monthey	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Oberwallis Naters	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Portalban Gletterens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Prishtina Bern	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sion II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lancy FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Servette II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Payerne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USI Azzurri	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vevey Sports 05	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sion II	FC Prishtina Bern
Stade Payerne	2-2 D	0-2 L
FC Monthey	3-2 W	5-3 W
Lancy FC	0-0 D	3-1 W
FC Oberwallis Naters	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Prishtina Bern (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sion II

LDWDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	FC Martigny Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Servette II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-4	–	–	L
09/05	FC La Sarraz Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	La Chaux-de-Fonds Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Meyrin Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-4	–	–	L
18/04	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/04	FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/04	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-0	–	–	D
28/03	FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-3	–	–	L

FC Prishtina Bern

LLWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	Biel Bienne Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
16/07	Young Boys II Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
13/07	FC Solothurn Europe Friendlies	2-2	4-2	9	1	W
07/07	FC Bulle Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	5	1	W
03/07	SC Dudingen Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/05	Stade Payerne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	FC Monthey Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	5-3	–	–	W
16/05	Lancy FC Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
09/05	FC Oberwallis Naters Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	CS Chênois Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	2-4	10	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sion II vs FC Prishtina Bern?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Prishtina Bern win (41%). Probabilities: Sion II 35%, draw 24%, FC Prishtina Bern 41%.

How many goals are expected in Sion II vs FC Prishtina Bern?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Sion II 1.78 · FC Prishtina Bern 1.95), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sion II vs FC Prishtina Bern?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.