Prediction: Birzebbuga vs Mosta FC
Team pages: Birzebbuga · Mosta FC
- Mosta FC2-2Birzebbuga
- Mosta FC0-4Birzebbuga
| Birzebbuga | Draw | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birzebbuga | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.9 | 2.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Birzebbuga 1–1–0 Mosta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Birzebbuga |
| 17/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Mosta FC | 0-4 | Birzebbuga |
Standings · Malta Premier League · Premier League 26/27, Opening Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Sliema Wanderers | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | Hamrun Spartans | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Floriana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernians | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Mosta FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Birzebbuga | Mosta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Gzira United | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Marsaxlokk FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hibernians | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Valletta | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Balzan FC | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Sliema Wanderers | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mosta FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birzebbuga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Mosta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/10 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 21/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/10 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birzebbuga vs Mosta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Birzebbuga win (38%). Probabilities: Birzebbuga 38%, draw 26%, Mosta FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Birzebbuga vs Mosta FC?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Birzebbuga 1.57 · Mosta FC 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Birzebbuga vs Mosta FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.