Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 08/08, 13:00
Prediction: Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Heidenheim2.01
VfL Osnabruck1.07
1X2
Heidenheim
Draw
VfL Osnabruck
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Heidenheim
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
VfL Osnabruck
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heidenheim
3–1–0
VfL Osnabruck
(4 last)
- VfL Osnabruck1-2Heidenheim
- Heidenheim1-1VfL Osnabruck
- Heidenheim3-1VfL Osnabruck
- VfL Osnabruck1-3Heidenheim
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heidenheim 1550 · VfL Osnabruck 1519
| Heidenheim | Draw | VfL Osnabruck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Heidenheim: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heidenheim | VfL Osnabruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidenheim 3–1–0 VfL Osnabruck
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/21 Germany Bundesliga II | VfL Osnabruck | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Heidenheim |
| 25/10/20 Germany Bundesliga II | Heidenheim | 1-1 HT 0-0 | VfL Osnabruck |
| 22/12/19 Germany Bundesliga II | Heidenheim | 3-1 HT 1-0 | VfL Osnabruck |
| 27/07/19 Germany Bundesliga II | VfL Osnabruck | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Heidenheim |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cottbus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hannover 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heidenheim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Ingolstadt Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hamburg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/07 | Bologna Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 15/07 | TSV Nördlingen Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sgm Langenau Club Friendly List |
6-0 | 12-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | SCR Altach Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Mainz Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Cologne Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
VfL Osnabruck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Paderborn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | SC Melle Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | SSV Ulm 1846 Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Verl Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Cottbus Germany 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heidenheim win (59%). Probabilities: Heidenheim 59%, draw 22%, VfL Osnabruck 19%.
How many goals are expected in Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Heidenheim 2.01 · VfL Osnabruck 1.07), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Heidenheim vs VfL Osnabruck?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.